In the global markets, few currencies are more liquid than the Mexican peso. Its high liquidity makes it a favorite of investors who want to shift their money into emerging market currencies. It is also the currency of choice for companies that make exports and imports in Mexico, banks that receive remittances in dollars from workers in Mexico and pay them out in pesos, and travelers who choose to visit Mexico rather than go abroad. All of these factors contribute to the fact that the Mexican peso is gaining strength.
However, not all analysts are convinced that the strength of the peso is an indication that the country’s economy is healthy. In fact, many believe that the recent rise in the peso is simply a reflection of the strengthening dollar and the heightened risk that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates soon.
A strong dollar has benefited the peso because it makes it more expensive to buy Mexican goods in the United States. For example, a bottle of cola that costs $4.50 in Mexico would cost $8.25 in the United States. In addition, it is cheaper to make exports in pesos, which is also contributing to the peso’s strength.
The strengthening of the peso is also a result of increased investment in the country, which has been supported by capital flows from the United States and China. In addition, the peso is benefiting from the favorable outlook for the Mexican economy and financial stability. It is also being supported by a tight monetary policy.
Although the strong performance of the What’s behind the increase in value of the Mexican peso? has surprised some analysts, many believe that it will continue to rise despite weak economic growth in the country. Some analysts attribute the peso’s strength to President Lopez Obrador’s decision not to increase spending in order to control public debt. They argue that a strict fiscal policy has helped the country maintain its debt-to-GDP ratio below 50%, which is attractive for investors.
However, other analysts point to a number of other factors that have contributed to the strength of the peso. For example, Luis Gonzali, a portfolio manager at Franklin Templeton, believes that the low level of inflation in Mexico is helping the peso. He also points to the possibility that the Federal Reserve will stop raising interest rates soon, which could also bolster the peso.
According to economists at Bank of America, the peso will continue to appreciate against the dollar because it has become a safe haven for foreign investment. They argue that the country is benefiting from a positive trade balance, low inflation, and a relatively stable banking system. Moreover, it is an advantage that the country has close ties with the United States and is covered by the U.S.-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) trade agreement, which facilitates low-tariff trade. In addition, the central bank’s hawkish monetary policies have also been supportive of the peso.